Wamkelekile kwixesha lokubonisa

Kwi-1998, i-Kodak yabasebenzi be-170,000 kwaye bathengisa i-85% yazo zonke iifoto zephepha kwihlabathi.
Kwiminyaka embalwa nje, imodeli yakhe yezo shishino yanyamalala, yamthabatha.
Yintoni eyenzekayo kwi-Kodak iya kwenzeka kumashishini amaninzi kwiminyaka elandelayo ye-10-kwaye abantu abaninzi abayiqondi.

Ngaba ucinga kwi-1998 ukuba iminyaka engama-3 ingasayi kuthatha iifoto ephepheni kwakhona?

Nangona kunjalo, iikhamera zedijithali zaqulunqwa kwi-1975. Njengabo bobuchwepheshe bobuchwepheshe, babedumala ixesha elide ngaphambi kokuba babe ngabaphakamileyo kakhulu kwaye beyona ndlela ehamba phambili kwiminyaka embalwa.
Ngoku kuya kudlula nge-Intelligence Intelligence, impilo, iimoto zombane ezizimeleyo, imfundo, ukushicilelwa kwe-3D, ezolimo kunye nemisebenzi.

Wamkelekile kwi-Fourth Industrial Revolution!

Isofthiwe iya kutshintshwa kwamashishini amveli kwii-5-10 iminyaka ezayo.
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I-Uber isisitoretye ​​nje, asiyiyo nayiphi na imoto, kwaye ngoku ke yinkampani enkulu yeetekisi kwihlabathi. I-Airbnb ngoku yeyona nkampani enkulu kwihotele kwihlabathi nangona ingenayo ipropati.
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Intelligence Intelligence: Iikhomputha ziya kuba ngcono ngakumbi ekuqondeni ihlabathi. Kulo nyaka, ikhomputha ibetha iGood Player phambili kwihlabathi (umdlalo waseTshayina ogqithiseleyo kune-chess), iminyaka eyi-10 ngaphambili ngaphambili.
E-USA amagosa amancinci akasakwazi ukufumana umsebenzi ngenxa ye-IBM Watson, unokufumana iingcebiso zomthetho (ngemiba engundoqo) ngemizuzwana, ngokuchanekileyo kwe-90% ngokuthelekiswa nokuchaneka kwe-70% yabantu. Ngoko ukuba ufunda umthetho, kha wuleza. Kuza kubakho abameli be-90% abangaphantsi kwexesha
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I-Watson Health isele ibanceda abahlengikazi baxilonge umdlavuza, kunye namaxesha e-4 ngokuchanekileyo kunonesi babantu. I-Facebook ngoku i-software yolwazi ekwazi ukuqonda ubuso obubhetele kunabantu. Kwi-2030, iikhomputha ziya kuba zintle kunabantu.
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Iimoto ezizimeleyo: iimoto zokuqala ezizimelayo ziya kuvela kwi-2018. Kwi-2020, lonke ishishini liza kuba neengxaki. Awufuni ukuba nemoto kwakhona. Uya kubiza imoto ngefowuni yakho, iya kubonakala apho ukhona kwaye iya kukuthabatha ukuya kwindawo oya kuyo. Awuyi kuwubeka ipaki, uza kuhlawula kuphela umgama ohambahamba kwaye uza kusebenza xa uhamba. Abantwana bethu abayi kuyidinga ilayisenisi yokuqhuba kwaye abayi kuze kubekho imoto. Izixeko ziya kutshintsha kuba siya kufuna i-90% -95% iinqwelo eziphantsi. Siyakwazi ukuguqula ibhishi lokupaka kwiipaki. I-1.2 izigidi zabantu ehlabathini zifa minyaka yonke ngenxa yeengozi zemoto. Ngoku sinomngcipheko kwikhilomitha nganye ye-100,000; ngeemoto ezizimeleyo eziya kutshintsha kwengozi kwiikhilomitha ezili-10 zeekhilomitha. Oku kuza kusindisa isigidimi ngasinye
ngonyaka
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Uninzi lweenkampani zikarhulumente. Iinkampani zemveli zorhwebo zisebenzisa indlela yokuziphendukela kwemvelo kwaye zenza imoto engcono ngelixa iinkampani zeteknoloji (iTesla, Goole, Apple) zineendlela zokuguqula nokuvelisa iikhomputha ngevili. Ndathetha kunye ne-VW kunye ne-Audi njineli kwaye bayothuka kakhulu nguTesla.
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Iinkampani zomshuwalense ziya kuba neengxaki ezimbi kuba ngaphandle kweengozi, i-inshorensi iya kuba ngamaxesha angama-100 angabizi. Imodeli yakho yomshuwalense wemoto iya kubonakala.

Ibhishithi yendawo yokuhlala iya kutshintsha. Kungenxa yokuba ukuba unako ukusebenza xa uhamba, abantu baya kudlulela emadolobheni ukuze baphile.
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Awuyi kufuna amajelo amaninzi ukuba abantu abancinci baneemoto, ngoko ukuhlala kwizixeko kungabonakalisa ngakumbi kuba abantu bathanda ukuba nabanye abantu. Oku akuyi kuguquka.
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Iimoto zombane ziya kuba ziqhelekileyo kwi-2020. Amadolophu aya kuba mnandi ngenxa yokuba yonke imoto iya kuba yombane. Umbane uya kuba uhlambulukile kwaye ungabizi: ukuveliswa kwamandla alanga kuye kwinqaba engabonakaliyo yeminyaka ye-30, kodwa ngoku ungabona igalelo. Kunyaka ophelileyo, amandla amakhulu elanga afakwe ngaphezu kwamandla ombane. Ixabiso lamandla elanga liya kuwa kakhulu kangangokuba zonke iinkampani zamalahle ziza kubakho kwi-2025.
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Ngombane ongezantsi ufikeleleka kwaye amanzi angabizi ngokucinywa. Khawucinge ukuba kwenzeka ntoni ukuba wonk 'ubani angaba namanzi acocekileyo njengoko ayefuna, phantse ngaphandle kweendleko.
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Impilo: Ixabiso le-Tricorder X liya kubhengezwa kulo nyaka. Kuya kuba neenkampani eziza kudala idilesi yonyango (ebizwa ngokuba yi Star Star Trek Tricorder) edibanisa kunye nefowuni yakho, eyenza ukukhangela i-retina yakho, izakuthatha iisampulu zegazi lakho nokuphefumula kwakho. Emva koko i-54 iya kuhlalutya abamakishi be-biological abaza kuchonga phantse nasiphi na isifo. Kuya kuba kubi, ngako-ke kwiminyaka ethile wonke umntu kule planethi uza kuba nokufikelela kwiyeza zonyango, phantse mahhala.
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Ukushicilelwa kwe-3D: Ixabiso lomshicileli oncinci liwe kwi-US $ 18,000 ukuya kwi-US $ 400 kwiminyaka eyi-10. Ngelo xesha, kwaba ngamaxesha e-100 ngokukhawuleza. Zonke iinkampani ezinkulu zeembadada zaqala ukushicilela izicathulo kwi-3D. Ingxenye zeenqwelo zendiza zanyatheliswa okwangoku kwi-3D kumaziko aphakamileyo aseburhulumenteni. Isikhululo sesikhala ngoku sinomshicileli ophelisa isidingo esikhulu seendawo ezazisetyenziswa ngaphambili
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Ekupheleni konyaka, ii-smartphones ezitsha ziya kuba nethuba lokuskena kwi-3D. Emva koko unokwazi ukukhangela unyawo lwakho kwi-3D uze uprinte isihlangu esifanelekileyo endlwini yakho. E-China, sele ushicilelwe kwi-3D isakhiwo seeflethi ze-6. Kwi-2027, i-20% yento yonke eveliswayo iya kuprintwa kwi-3D.
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Amathuba Amashishini: Ukuba ucinga ngeemakethi yentengiso ofuna ukuthatha inxaxheba kuyo, zibuze: "Ngomso, ucinga ukuba siya kuba nale?" Ukuba impendulo nguwebo, unokuyenza njani ngokukhawuleza? Ukuba awuxhuma kunye nefowuni yakho, libale malunga nembono. Yaye nayiphina ingcamango eyenzelwe ukuphumelela kwi-20 inkulungwane iya kuphumelela kwi-21 leminyaka
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UYobhi: I-70% -80% yemisebenzi iya kulahleka kwiminyaka elandelayo ye-20. Kuya kuba nemisebenzi emitsha emininzi, kodwa kusacacanga ukuba kuya kuba nokwanele imisebenzi emitsha kwesoxesha elifutshane
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Ulimo: Kuza kuba ne-US $ 100 idola ye robot kwikamva. Amafama kumhlaba wehlabathi wesithathu angaba ngabaphathi beendawo zabo kunokuba basebenze yonke imihla emasimini abo. I-Hydroponics iya kufuna amanzi angaphantsi. Izitya zokuqala zenkomo eziveliswa kwiitya zePetri ziyafumaneka kwaye ziya kuba zithengisa kunezo ziveliswa yimfuyo efanayo kwi-2018. Okwangoku, i-30% yalo lonke umhlaba wezolimo isetyenziselwa iinkomo. Khawucinge ukuba awuyidingi loo ndawo. Kukho iinkampani ezininzi zokuqala eziza kunika iiprotheyini zeeprotheni kungekudala. Zineeprotheyini ezingaphezulu kwenyama. Iya kuphawulwa "njengomthombo weeprotheni ezingezinye" kuba abaninzi abantu basayikhetha imbono yokutya inambuzane.
Ukuhlaziywa kwemithombo yezityalo kunye nezityalo kuya kwenziwa kwi-satellites kunye ne-drones kunye nokulawulwa kwezinambuzane, isondlo kunye nezifo ziya kuveliswa ngendlela ezinzileyo kwikhompyutha.
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Imfundo: kwesinye isizukulwana, iikhampasi ziya kuncitshiswa ekuvavanyeni iibhoratri kunye nophando kunye nophuhliso lwamatyala kunye nobuchule, ngokufundiswa kwe-intanethi kunye ne-videoconferencing. Iimviwo ziya kuphinda zenziwe kude kwaye ziya kubona ukuba umntu "uyazi" okanye ukukopisha okanye ukukhumbula.

Wonke umntu ongenalo lobugcisa okanye imfundo ekhethekileyo uya kuba yikhoboka lezemali, ngaphandle kwamalungelo apheleleyo wobummi.

Kukho isicelo esibizwa ngokuthi "i-Moodies" esingakuxelela ukuba unjani. Ukuya kwi-2020 kuya kuba nezicelo ezingachazela ukuba uthetha ngobuxoki ubuso bakho. Cinga ngxubusho yezopolitiko ebonisa xa uthetha inyaniso okanye ubuxoki.
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Iibhitcoins ziya kusebenza ngokuqhelekileyo kulo nyaka kwaye zinokuba zigcinwe ngeengqekembe.
Iphepha lePhepha liya kutshabalala kwizizukulwana ze-2 kwaye yonke intengiso iya kuba yikhompyutha.

- Okwangoku, ubomi bomyinge bwandisa iinyanga ze-3 ngonyaka. Iminyaka emine edlulileyo, ubomi obuphakathi kweminyaka eyi-79, ngoku i-80 iminyaka. Ukunyuka ngokwayo kukhula kwaye i-2036 mhlawumbi iya kuba ngumnyaka omnye wokwanda ngonyaka. Ngoko siphila ixesha elide, mhlawumbi ngaphezu kwe100 ...

Into yodwa engayimisa le nto yokuziphendukela kwemvelo kukubhubhisa koluntu loluntu ngamaphunga ambalwa anamandla kwaye engenakho imfundo ».

Amanqaku avela kumntu owenziwe ngethuba lenkonyuli yeYunivesithi yeNgqungquthela eyenziwa eMesse Berlin, eJamani ngo-Ephreli we-2017

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